With four teams left standing, are LAFC (West) and the Philadelphia Union (East) on a collision course to reach MLS Cup on Nov. 5?
That’s a strong likelihood, according to FiveThirtyEight’s updated predictions model, which gives both No. 1 seeds greater than a two-thirds chance to advance from their portions of the Audi 2022 MLS Cup Playoffs bracket.
The Black & Gold remain title-holder favorites at a 49% probability, while Conference Finalist visitors Austin FC and New York City FC are hovering around 10%.
Perhaps an upset or two awaits Oct. 30, with LAFC-Austin up first and then Philly-NYCFC closing out the Conference Final slate.
Here's the full rundown:
FiveThirtyEight: MLS Cup 2022 predictions
Team |
Make MLS Cup |
Win MLS Cup |
|---|---|---|
1. LAFC |
76% |
49% |
2. Philadelphia Union |
69% |
32% |
3. NYCFC |
31% |
11% |
4. Austin FC |
24% |
8% |
